AV timelines pushed back

Wired magazine 2 Jan 2018 OH, THE UNTAINTED optimism of 2014. In the spring of that year, the good Swedes at Volvo introduced Drive Me, a program to get regular Josefs, Frejas, Joeys, and Fayes into autonomous vehicles. By 2017, Volvo executives promised, the company would distribute 100 self-driving SUVs to families in Gothenburg, Sweden. The cars would be able to ferry …

Grush Niles new book, End of Driving, due to be finished this month

By John Niles, finishing book in January 2018 ONE. Humans continue to demand motorized mobility There is much to laud about efforts to promote walkable and bikeable communities. Efforts to construct complete streets are to be commended. But the consumption of motorized automobility is a force that cannot be turned back. It has its own engine of growth and its …

Cities will need to fight zero-occupant miles with “TDM for autonomous vehicles”

By Howard Jennings – May 30, 2017 Mobility Lab 7 The advent of autonomous vehicles is fraught with uncertainty, especially when it comes to their impacts on traffic, travel choices, and the broader transportation system.They offer many potential benefits, but many potential negative impacts, depending in part on how they are deployed. While widespread adoption may still be decades away, significant numbers will begin to …

How AVs may affect private investment in new roads

Re-posted from John Niles on the End of Driving blog, 22 Sep 2017 Private-sector investors and their public sector counterparts should consider how autonomous vehicles might affect their investment in new transportation infrastructure. These $9 billion proposed P3 lanes would need to be tolled well beyond the multi-decade diffusion period of driverless cars. Maryland Proposes $9B Public-Private Partnership To Widen I-495, I-270, MD-295. …

What can government do about the coming disruption from automated taxi fleets?

Re-posted from John Niles, End of Driving, 3 Nov. 2017 Last week, an unusual report was released by the Residential and Civil Construction Alliance of Ontario (RCCAO): “Ontario Must Prepare for Vehicle Automation: How Skilled Governance Can Influence its Outcome.”  What makes this report so unusual is that it proposes a solution to the uncertainty about the nature, timing, and diffusion of …

NCHRP AV research

NCHRP 20-102(06) [Active] Road Markings for Machine Vision [ NCHRP 20-102 (Impacts of Connected Vehicles and Automated Vehicles on State and Local Transportation Agencies–Task-Order Support) ]   Project Data Funds: $200,000 Staff Responsibility: B. Ray Derr Research Agency: Texas A&M Transportation Institute Principal Investigator: Paul Carlson Effective Date: 7/13/2016 Completion Date: 3/12/2018 OBJECTIVE The objective of the research is to develop information on …

Tom Price on Tony Seba: The Last Auto Mechanic: America’s transportation economy and landscape is about to be utterly transformed into a world beyond driving. Or drivers. Or even car mechanics. 

Let’s get right to the punch line: a very strong case can be made, and will be below, that within 15 years virtually all vehicular traffic in the US will be by autonomous electric vehicles (A-EVs). And that in turn will fundamentally change how our society works, largely for the better — if we don’t blow the transition, that is. Because that statement has …

KPMG researchers forecast that, thanks to transport-as-a-service, individual car ownership will see a “precipitous decline” in the coming decade.  “As costs for ride hailing drop, KPMG predicts that by 2030 many families will no longer need to own a sedan to get to work or do errands, but will hail a ride instead.  The result will be a “precipitous decline” to …

Ford wants to have a hand in every part of the self-driving-car industry, including the software that replaces the human driver, the platform that connects and controls the cars and the services that spring up around them

Excerpt from NYTimes.com 10 Nov 2017 …Ford wants to have a hand in every part of the self-driving-car industry, including the software that replaces the human driver, the platform that connects and controls the cars and the services that spring up around them. To that end, Ford has spent the past several years quietly snapping up tech talent. It struck …