A few points on the rapid shift occurring with EVs, from Tom Solomon in New Mexico:
- To have any chance of keeping 85-90% of the remaining oil in the ground for 1.5C, we have to convert electricity generation to non-carbon sources, like a 100% CRE grid. And we must electrify ground transportation. Combining those two solutions gets you to zero-emissions transport, once vehicle manufacturing converts to the same 100% CRE grid. (CRE= clean renewable energy). So even if keeping an old gas car around was the lowest footprint solution in the short term, it won’t let us ‘keep it in the ground’. Gas cars must eventually be retired, so replacements must be built.
- And remember that we are talking about the FUTURE (though it needs to come fast), so we can’t get hung up on what’s available today. I love the idea of mass, free, green transportation, but like a wide-spread EV charging network with charging solutions for renters, it does not exist today. Both have to be built. So let’s build them both. And it turns out that legislation (AB2565) and plans to help electrify rental units actually did pass in CA in 2014.
- Plus, the cost reduction curve for EV’s is super steep – there are now announced $30k EV’s with 200mi range for 2017 (Bolt and Model-3). That’s a 50% price drop in 5 years. And they’ll hit sub $20,000 before 2025 with vehicles that are clean, cheap, silent, low-cost to operate and a kick to drive.
- The same economic forces behind EV’s apply to battery-electric buses which will be so compelling as to replace existing fleets, based just on operating economics. Link link
- For the question about the carbon footprint of EV’s vs gas cars, the Union of Concerned Scientists did probably the best study. Here is a story, “Electric Cars Greener Than The Average Car In 100% Of USA”
- Finally, lots more on Electric Vehicle answers is here http://cleantechnica.com/car-answers/