Deforestation: The World Resources Institute, University of Maryland and associates, as Global Forest Watch, have discovered that 2017 deforestation in the tropics was nearly as large as the record-setting 2016. The report also notes up to 1/3 of tropical forests down or damaged in areas where the Caribbean hurricanes of 2017 struck.
The consequences for natural hazards and disasters include increased displacement of indigenous peoples and livelihoods, increasing changes in hydrology (run-off, sedimentation, etc.) and in air quality where fires are set (as in Indonesian Sumatra). The fires are especially important where ancient peat is burned, sharply increasing the releases of CO2 as well as creating hazardous smoke. There have been some changes in the rates of deforestation, but the news is disturbing. In summary, a researcher said of the small funding to fight deforestation (and support those displaced, perhaps even smaller)… “We’re trying to put out a house fire with a teaspoon.”
In Colombia, a landmark peace deal between the government and the country’s largest rebel group paved the way for a rush of mining, logging and farming that caused deforestation in the nation’s Amazon region to spike last year.
And in the Caribbean, Hurricanes Irma and Maria flattened nearly one-third of the forests in Dominica and a wide swath of trees in Puerto Rico last summer.
In all, the world’s tropical forests lost roughly 39 million acres of trees last year, an area roughly the size of Bangladesh, according to a report Wednesday by Global Forest Watch that used new satellite data from the University of Maryland. Global Forest Watch is part of the World Resources Institute, an environmental group.
That made 2017 the second-worst year for tropical tree cover loss in the satellite record, just below the losses in 2016.
The data provides only a partial picture of forest health around the world, since it does not capture trees that are growing back after storms, fires or logging. But separate studies have confirmed that tropical forests are shrinking overall, with losses outweighing the gains.
The new report comes as ministers from forest nations around the world meet in Oslo this week to discuss how to step up efforts to protect the world’s tropical forests, which host roughly half of all species worldwide and play a key role in regulating Earth’s climate.
“These new numbers show an alarming situation for the world’s rain forests,” said Andreas Dahl-Jorgensen, deputy director of the Norwegian government’s International Climate and Forest Initiative. “We simply won’t meet the climate targets that we agreed to in Paris without a drastic reduction in tropical deforestation and restoration of forests around the world.”
Tracking Forest Loss
Trees, particularly those in the lush tropics, pull carbon dioxide out of the air as they grow and lock that carbon in their wood and soil. When humans cut down or burn trees, the carbon gets released back into the atmosphere, warming the planet. By some estimates, deforestation accounts for more than 10 percent of humanity’s carbon dioxide emissions each year.
But figuring out precisely where forests are vanishing has long been a challenge. For decades, the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization has relied on ground-level assessments from individual countries to track deforestation. Yet not all tropical countries have adequate capacity to monitor their forests, and the measurements can be plagued by inconsistencies.
In 2013, scientists at the University of Maryland unveiled a fresh approach. Using satellite data recently made free, they have been tracking changes in tree canopy area around the world. This method has its own limits: More work is still needed to distinguish between trees that are being intentionally harvested in plantations and those that are being newly cleared in older, natural forests. The latter is a much bigger concern for habitat loss and climate change.
Both ground-level assessments and satellite data are important, said Matthew C. Hansen, a scientist who leads the monitoring effort at the University of Maryland. “But what satellites can do is identify disturbances much more quickly,” he said. “We can map the first logging road into a forest and then send out an alert.”
Concern in Colombia, Brazil and Congo
From the satellite imagery, researchers noticed that Colombia lost 1 million acres of forest in 2017, a stunning 46 percent uptick from the previous year. Many of these losses took place in the Colombian Amazon, in areas that used to be strictly controlled by the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia, or FARC, a guerrilla group that imposed tight controls on logging and land-clearing but disarmed last year amid a landmark peace accord.
“As FARC has demobilized, large areas are opening up once again, and you’re seeing this rush of people grabbing land for different reasons, like planting cocoa or cattle ranching,” said Mikaela Weisse, a research analyst with Global Forest Watch.
She added that the Colombian government recently announced new policies to work with indigenous communities to protect forests, but said it was too early to declare success.
The satellite data also provided a clearer picture of Brazil’s vast Amazon rain forests, long vulnerable to widespread deforestation. Over the past decade, the Brazilian government has moved to reduce illegal logging, and Western agriculture companies like Cargill have pledged to farm more sustainably.
But the Global Forest Watch analysis showed that Brazil lost a record amount of tree cover in 2016 and 2017, in part because of large fire outbreaks in the Amazon. These fires are typically started by farmers and ranchers to clear land, but a severe drought last year caused them to spread rapidly, particularly in the parched southeast. The satellites also picked up evidence of large-scale land-clearing that may be occurring in areas where enforcement is weak.
“The big concern is that we’re starting to see a new normal, where fires, deforestation, drought and climate change are all interacting to make the Amazon more flammable,” Ms. Weisse said.
Elsewhere in the world, the satellite data showed that the Democratic Republic of Congo last year saw more forest loss than any other country outside of Brazil — some 3.6 million acres, up 6 percent from the previous year — with small-scale logging, charcoal production and farming all likely playing key roles.
Possible Progress in Indonesia
The researchers did find a tentative bright spot in Indonesia, where a government crackdown on deforestation may be showing early signs of success.
Over the past several decades, Indonesia’s farmers have been draining and burning the country’s peatlands — thick layers of partially decomposed vegetation that hold enormous stores of carbon — in order to grow crops like palm oil. But in 2015, amid a strong El Niño and severe dry spell, the country had its worst fire season in decades, blanketing Southeast Asia in deadly smoke.
In 2016, Indonesia’s government imposed a new moratorium on the conversion of peatland, while Norway pledged $50 million for enforcement. Early signs are encouraging: primary forest loss on Indonesia’s protected peatland dropped 88 percent in 2017, to the lowest level in years. Still, experts said, the real test of success may come when the next El Niño hits.
But such positive stories tend to be a relative rarity and experts say much more is needed to slow the pace of deforestation. To date, just 2 percent of international financing for activities to fight climate change goes toward forest conservation, said Frances Seymour, a senior fellow at the World Resources Institute.
“We’re trying to put out a house fire with a teaspoon,” she said.